Bundesliga
Sat, May 9, 2026
VfB Stuttgart 3 - 1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
ACCURATE
FT
BTTS and goals were OV2.5
Pre-Match Takeaways
- VfB Stuttgart home form: W6 D2 L2 (1.7 goals/game scored, 1.1 conceded)
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen away form: W4 D3 L3 (1.5 goals/game scored, 1.3 conceded)
- Close in the table: VfB Stuttgart 5th (58pts) vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4th (58pts)
VfB Stuttgart host Bayer Leverkusen today in a decisive Bundesliga clash for Champions League qualification. Both sides are level on 58 points, making this a true six-pointer at the MHPArena.
Quick Signals
- Mixed goals pattern: O2.5 in 70% of VfB Stuttgart's games, 50% of Bayer 04 Leverkusen's
- H2H favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 3 wins vs 1 in last 10 meetings (4 draws)
Key Signals
- Over 2.5 in last 10 H2H (5 of 10 (50%))
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen BTTS rate of 60%
- Stuttgart’s edge: Home advantage, attacking depth, and confidence from January’s 4–1 win.
- Leverkusen’s edge: Superior form, Schick’s scoring streak, and momentum from big wins.
- Most probable outcome: A high-scoring thriller with both sides finding the net. Leverkusen’s sharper form may give them the edge, but Stuttgart’s home resilience means a draw is highly possible.
Team Form & News
Head-to-Head
Last meeting: January 2026 – Stuttgart stunned Leverkusen 4–1 away.
Trend: Leverkusen had been unbeaten in 15 vs Stuttgart before that shock defeat.
Recent clashes: High-scoring affairs (7 goals across last 2 meetings).
VfB Stuttgart
Recent form: Winless in last 3 (draws vs Freiburg, Bremen, Hoffenheim).
Strengths: Strong home record (4 wins in last 6 at MHPArena).
Concerns: Defensive frailties, conceding 2+ goals in 4 of last 6.
Key players: Deniz Undav (top scorer), Chris Führich (pace on the wing), Bilal El Khannouss (creative playmaker).
Absentees: Atakan Karazor (suspended), Ameen Al-Dakhil & Finn Jeltsch (injuries).
Bayer Leverkusen
Recent form: 4 wins in last 5, including a 4–1 demolition of RB Leipzig.
Strengths: High-scoring attack, Patrik Schick in red-hot form (hat-trick vs Leipzig).
Concerns: Occasional defensive lapses (only 1 clean sheet in last 7).
Key players: Patrik Schick, Alejandro Grimaldo (wing-back creativity), Exequiel Palacios (midfield control).
Absentees: Martin Terrier (injury), Lucas Vázquez doubtful.
Outcome:
BTTS
OV 2.5
Head-to-Head
Last meeting: January 2026 – Stuttgart stunned Leverkusen 4–1 away.
Trend: Leverkusen had been unbeaten in 15 vs Stuttgart before that shock defeat.
Recent clashes: High-scoring affairs (7 goals across last 2 meetings).
VfB Stuttgart
Recent form: Winless in last 3 (draws vs Freiburg, Bremen, Hoffenheim).
Strengths: Strong home record (4 wins in last 6 at MHPArena).
Concerns: Defensive frailties, conceding 2+ goals in 4 of last 6.
Key players: Deniz Undav (top scorer), Chris Führich (pace on the wing), Bilal El Khannouss (creative playmaker).
Absentees: Atakan Karazor (suspended), Ameen Al-Dakhil & Finn Jeltsch (injuries).
Bayer Leverkusen
Recent form: 4 wins in last 5, including a 4–1 demolition of RB Leipzig.
Strengths: High-scoring attack, Patrik Schick in red-hot form (hat-trick vs Leipzig).
Concerns: Occasional defensive lapses (only 1 clean sheet in last 7).
Key players: Patrik Schick, Alejandro Grimaldo (wing-back creativity), Exequiel Palacios (midfield control).
Absentees: Martin Terrier (injury), Lucas Vázquez doubtful.
Outcome:
BTTS
OV 2.5
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